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Interpretation of the Political Bureau Meeting in December by CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report pointed out that a new round of policy starting guns will be fired, and the policy inflection point will be reconfirmed, making it clear that the macro policy will be strengthened and effective in 2025. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a "more active fiscal policy" and enriched the policy toolbox, which may indicate that in 2025, both deficit ratio in a narrow sense and deficit ratio in a broad sense will be significantly improved, and the focus of policy development is also expected to be marginal in the field of people's livelihood consumption. From the perspective of monetary policy, this Politburo meeting calls for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy. This is the first time that China has implemented a moderately loose monetary policy after 2010. It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. From the perspective of domestic demand policy, the statement of expanding domestic demand in an all-round way, especially "vigorously boosting consumption", exceeds market expectations. With the support of the existing policies coming into effect and the policy of increasing domestic demand, the improvement of domestic demand may have strong certainty and sustainability. In addition, in terms of structural policies, on the one hand, the meeting clearly stated that it is necessary to "stabilize the property market and the stock market", and the importance of the stock market continues to be highlighted, and real estate is still in the policy landing period; On the other hand, the meeting emphasized that "scientific and technological innovation leads the development of new quality productive forces", and new industries and future industries are expected to receive further policy support.U.S. Treasury Department: Sanctions were imposed on 28 individuals and enterprises related to a global gold smuggling and money laundering network based in Zimbabwe.Wang Wentao, Minister of Commerce, met with Coleman, Secretary-General of the OECD, and Wang Wentao, Minister of Commerce, met with Coleman, Secretary-General of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, in Beijing on December 9 to have an in-depth exchange of views on the world economic situation and further deepening bilateral cooperation. Wang Wentao pointed out that China is willing to share policy experience, conduct personnel exchanges and promote pragmatic cooperation with the OECD in the fields of trade and investment, digital economy and green development. It is hoped that the OECD can continue to give full play to the advantages of the "incubator" of global high-standard international rules, work with China to promote the construction of an open world economy and oppose protectionism. Coleman spoke highly of China's achievements in realizing economic development and opening wider to the outside world, and said that China's strong economic growth has played an important supporting role in the global economy. He is willing to cooperate more closely with China in the fields of climate change and service trade, oppose protectionism and jointly meet global challenges.

Deutsche Bahn Freight Company announced that it will lay off 5,000 people. On December 8, local time, Deutsche Bahn Freight Company announced that it will lay off 5,000 people by 2029, of which 1,000 will be laid off first in 2025. Deutsche Bahn's freight business has been losing money for many years, and the company hopes to turn losses into profits before 2026. In October this year, the company decided to implement a restructuring plan. This plan was originally scheduled to lay off 2,300 people from 2025, and the scale of layoffs has expanded. (CCTV Finance)Many rooms have been blown again, and now they are up by 86.79%.Domestic futures closed at night, with coke up 5.6%, glass up about 5%, coking coal and synthetic rubber up over 4%, rebar up over 3% and iron ore up about 2.7%.

The 10-year yield of US debt rose by 1.01% to 4.191.Spot gold rose by 1.5% in the day to $2,672.85 per ounce.Regulators continue to strengthen the prevention and control of insider trading in mergers and acquisitions to maintain the "three public" order in the capital market. Recently, the securities regulatory bureaus in Hunan and Zhejiang have issued several tickets for insider trading, which fully demonstrates the determination and attitude of the regulatory authorities to "zero tolerance" for illegal securities activities. Insider trading steals the profit opportunities that belong to the majority of investors by obtaining information in advance, which seriously undermines the market order of "three publics", encourages the atmosphere of asking for information and speculation, interferes with investors' value judgment, affects the market pricing function, and infringes on the legitimate rights and interests of investors. The Shanghai Stock Exchange learned that regulators are continuing to strengthen the prevention and control of insider trading in mergers and acquisitions to help maintain the normal functioning of market pricing functions.